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2024-12-13 16:33:06

Yesterday, both the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index opened sharply higher and went lower, which was very ugly. After the A-share market closed, the decline of Hong Kong stocks expanded. Last night, the FTSE A50 and Nasdaq China Jinlong Index both showed obvious corrections, and the China Jinlong Index fell by more than 4%!Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!


So yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower. Is it really big money that is smashing the market? This can actually be seen from yesterday's transaction data. In this morning's [A-share news], Brother Jun analyzed in detail the position adjustment actions of institutions and hot money seats yesterday. Although yesterday's institutional funds did have a moderate net outflow, the outflow of institutional funds was only due to the decrease in buying, not the release of selling.First, compared with any other funds, the national team is more familiar with the macro-adjustment strategy of the top level, and enters the market accurately before the Politburo meeting, mostly knowing that there will be great benefits at the meeting. Therefore, entering the venue last Friday can avoid chasing after the meeting, which has a greater cost advantage!What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.


Yesterday, both the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index opened sharply higher and went lower, which was very ugly. After the A-share market closed, the decline of Hong Kong stocks expanded. Last night, the FTSE A50 and Nasdaq China Jinlong Index both showed obvious corrections, and the China Jinlong Index fell by more than 4%!It is precisely because of this that Jun Ge will analyze and point out in yesterday afternoon's article that three times of opening higher and walking lower are only similar in shape but not in spirit, so the trend in the next few days will naturally not fall sharply continuously.The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.

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